Roy vs Brodeur

Now that Patrick Roy, the greatest goalie in the modern history, is retired; only one is able to break up his NHL’s records: Martin BrodeurTake a look at “Casseau”‘s records :

Season records

1) 551 wins

2) 1029 games played

3) 60 227 minutes played

4) 12 seasons with 30 wins or more

Playoffs records

1) 151 wins

2) 247 games played

3) 23 shutouts

Brodeur, 31 years old (born may 5 1972), will play let’s say seven more seasons or eight, all depends if he will have a lockout in 2004. And he will probably be in a good team for the rest of his career. So let’s take a look at each record and his chance to break it or not.

(I will base my probabilities on seven seasons left in his career so if he plays more than his chances will be better yet)

Season records :

1) Brodeur has 365 wins in the bank so he need 187 wins to break the record. He must have an average of 27 wins by season to make it.

He can do it.

2) He has 665 gp, so an average of 52 gp by season and he break it.

He will do it

3) He has 38957 mins, for the record, he must play about 51 full games by season.

He will do it

4) He has 8 seasons with 30 wins or more (consecutively with four forty wins or so (NHL record I guess)) Five more 30 wins season and it’s in the bag.

He can do it

Playoffs records :

1) Marty has 80 victorys so far (if NJ wins the Stanley Cup, 83 wins) Anyway, he must wins 69-72 games in the playoffs, about 10 wins per playoffs appearance. Equivalent at 2 rounds and a half.

Roy will probably keep this record.

2) He has 133 gp so far (136-139 max. at the end of the playoffs). He need around an average of 15-16 games per playoffs appearance. Again, more than two rounds.

I guess Roy will keep this record too.

3) He has 18 shutouts so what’s 6 more for Brodeur?

He will easily break this.

Remember that I based my probabilities on a seven years career left in the tank; and I don’t considered the imponderables (injuries, decline (btw,I don’t think so!) etc.).

Statistics source : nhl.com and Le Soleil