Too Many Problems with a Weighted Lottery
It appears as though the league will proceed with the “weighted lottery system” in order to determine where Crosby will end up. However, in my humble opinion, this is the wrong way of going about. There are just too many problems.The argument that most people will use to endorse the weighted lottery is that teams which do not make the playoffs should be rewarded. After all, that is what the draft is for. The distribution of good young talent to bad teams. But these teams have already been rewarded for their bad seasons. Pittsburgh was rewarded with Malkin and Fleury. Columbus was rewarded with Nash and Pascal LeClaire. Atlanta was rewarded with Kovalchuk, Heatley and Lehtonen. Washington was rewarded with Ovechkin. Tampa was rewarded with, well, Ruslan Fedotenko. But they should have been rewarded with Joni Pitkanen. Why should these teams be rewarded again after not playing?
Looking at the past 3 seasons is also the wrong thing to do. If they go ahead with this system, Tampa Bay will have a better chance at Crosby than Ottawa, Toronto, Philadelphia, Detroit, St. Louis, etc. I think everyone would agree that they are the better team, and yet they would get more balls?
Another example would be Washington. I think everyone would say that they are among the worst teams in the league, if not the worst. However, before last season, they were a playoff team. Because of this, they would get less of a chance than Atlanta. Atlanta is a better team with better young talent, and yet they would have a better shot than the Capitals. A team which held a fire sale last year and now suck? I don’t think that’s very fair.
There is no way anyone could determine how teams would have finished last year, and this weighted lottery presents far too many problems. The solution? Go with an equal chance for all.