Comments on: Isles Offered Entire Draft

By: thisgamewelose

thisgamewelose — Mon, 25 Jun 2012 22:55:34 +0000

The rumors I’ve seen had them thinking Yakupov would fall down to 2nd and that’s why they offered all their picks. You can break it down all you want, but saying no only makes sense if you’re planning on drafting Yakupov.

Columbus was not going to pass on Yakupov, but I also think they tried the “We won’t draft him card” in hopes to capitalize a trade prior to Oilers drafting, with other teams offering more in case they could land Yakupov. However, I think they wanted roster players who can play next season, this way they can trade Nash for less than what they want. Yeah, I’ve got them figured out!!!!

By: lafleur10

lafleur10 — Mon, 25 Jun 2012 22:45:17 +0000

your right doorman if the islanders would’ve made that trade and took galchenyuk we would’ve passed on murray and took either forsberg or teravainen

By: dumbassdoorman

dumbassdoorman — Mon, 25 Jun 2012 22:35:36 +0000

However there speculation that the Isles wanted Glachenyuk, if that was the casde would Mtl. have taken Murray? I think they would have opted for a fwd still. But ya Howson, should have made the deal IMO.

By: Steven_Leafs0

Steven_Leafs0 — Mon, 25 Jun 2012 20:23:17 +0000

I remember reading a stat that was “the odds of a draftee becoming an NHL regular” (minimum 100 games played in the NHL). They broke it down somewhat like this:

1st overall:
2nd-5th:
6th-10th:
11th-20th:
21st-30th:
31st-45th:
46th-60th:
3rd round:
4th round:
5th round:
6th round:
7th round:

each with a percentage beside it showing how many of those players in a 20 year span played over 100 games in the NHL.

From what I remember, 1st was 96% (one guy didn’t play 100+ games), top 10 was over 50% easy, 10-45 was 40-60%, 46-60 was a third easy, while rounds 4-7 were 10-15% (if I had to guess it was something like 4th: 14%, 5th: 11%, 6th: 13%, 7th: 10%…. uneven to say the least).

Ok if I haven’t lost you yet, I might here…. I’m going to do the math:

First of all, the main swap was Murray for Reinhart (considering where the next forward was taken, this is a great assumption). After that the odds of the other picks of making the NHL are:

34th: 40%
65th: 35%
103, 125, 155, & 185: about 12% each

If you look at it this way (not the best way to look at it I admit) then the extra picks Columbus would have got to trade down WHEN THEY DIDN’T WANT TO (that part is important, teams trade down for significantly less because it is all they can get), would likely only produce ONE extra NHLer. Two if your lucky, 3+ if you hit the jackpot.

I would have done it though, that is a lot of picks and just to make history alone would have been enough for me to make that deal. Heck if you didn’t want a bunch of low picks then demand their 2nd in 2013 and let them keep the 6th & 7th picks. lol

By: lafleur10

lafleur10 — Mon, 25 Jun 2012 17:20:16 +0000

if this was inded the case the blue jackets are very stupid for turning that offer down man the prospect cupboard would’ve been over flowing howson is a moron for turning this down!